After Curry was injured, the Warriors played five games, winning the Thunder, regretting the Blazers and the Lakers, shooting off the Wizards, and losing to the Clippers at the end of the three sessions. The total net win of 5 games was 17 points, but it was not important. The record ranked by winning rather than goal difference. Compared with expectations, the Warriors still won one less goal (one of the blazers or Lakers), shots ability is still poor.
Without curry, the warriors actually handed over 124.3 offensive efficiency in these five games. The league was the second in the same period, but the defensive efficiency was only 120.9, and the league was the 24th in the same period. From this data, you can’t see the impact of the absence of the library. The defensive awakening that has always been expected has not appeared, but has developed towards a more extreme direction of attack, strength and weakness.
In the post-game interview, Cole stressed that “we want to improve defense” has been heard more than once. Although Cole said so, it seems that he has never come up with a good solution. Since the season, the warrior’s defensive efficiency on the road is horrible 119.8, but returning to the home court can improve the defensive efficiency to 108.4. What is the concept? The previous data is Spurs, and the latter data is better than the stag. In other words, the Warriors have serious champion-level defense at home, and they fight for Wen banyama wholeheartedly when they go away.
The penalty scale may be a variable that affects the difference of the Warriors’s main and away defense, which is especially obvious in the match at the beginning of the season. Because warriors are a typical small ball defense configuration, their body shape suffers losses and they are highly dependent on the intensity of confrontation. Once the penalty is strict, it will cause the trouble of quick foul on their backs and the number of free throws will soar, the warrior’s defense system will be unsustainable.
However, as the season goes deeper, after more observation, I will think that Warriors cannot attribute all problems to the penalty scale, the three-point hit rate of Warriors’s away opponents is as high as (in Chase Center, this number dropped to), which is not all due to luck or defensive strength. I am more inclined to think that the Warriors did not perform well in the main and away defense, but their own rim and their home RIM’s clear position of love and hate, which magnified the main and away Defense results.
Warriors have poor defense and do not need too much analysis. It can be simply attributed to the fact that the overall size is small, the external line single defense suffers losses, and the internal line defense is not enough to think that the external line single defense is a lot of wiping the ass. The extensive use of the multi-defender lineup is an important reason for poor defense. Almost everyone knows it clearly, as if only the coaching staff are pretending to be stupid. However, from some recent voices of warriors, the views of the management and the coaching staff on the team’s employment are also inconsistent. They overuse the backcourt and distrust young people. These ideas seem to be more from the coaching staff.
In my previous article, I commented on the body shape of the Warriors:
Small lineup is a configuration problem;
Too small a lineup is a matter of employment.
The configuration problem is very clear. Compared with the last season with PROTONIC and Belica, the warriors of this season did not have enough high-quality forecourt player. Wiseman will not talk about it. Jia Green, an important sponsor in the front court, has gradually become an available internal rotation after the recent recovery of the three-point stars. However, at the beginning of the season, he is not much better than Wiseman, and there have been a lot of absenteeism due to injuries.
In addition, the most successful reinforcement of the Warriors this season-Di winchinzo-is also a backcourt player. Compared with last season’s little peyton, di winkinzo has better offensive compatibility, more offensive functionality, and less trouble in foul, which gives him more time than peyton. Di Vincenzo accounted for 8.6 percent of the time this season, which was 6.3 percent higher than that of Peyton in the previous season and 7.1 percent higher than that of PROTONIC. However, his defensive ability was not as good as Peyton’s, and the defensive compatibility was not as good as PROTONIC. Although this season is healthier to pursue dreams and the proportion of time is much higher than that of the previous season, Wikins is particularly unhealthy and the proportion of time is much lower than that of the previous season. Taken together, in the 21-22 season, the proportion of time used by warriors forecourt player was 54.4 percent, and this season dropped to 49.3 percent. There is a gap in time, not to mention the difference in players’ defensive levels.
The objective conditions in configuration will inevitably cause the overall size to be too small, which cannot be blamed by the coaching staff.
The problem with the coaching staff is that they did not try their best to ensure their body shape under the existing conditions, but chose, “OK, small is small, let’s find a super small way to win”.
There are three things:
First, Warriors did not put training cuminga at the beginning as a high enough priority.
At the beginning of the season, after the failure of the all-young players substitute team, Cole quickly reduced the playing time of cuminga, and even once there was a trend of DNP. It was not until cuminga gradually showed his progressive personal performance from december that the coaching staff regained their trust in him. Cuminga was placed in a low position in the plan at the beginning of the season, and the team paid too much attention to the starting style of Poole + Wiseman. However, warriors are the most scarce and the most difficult resource to strengthen from the trading market, which is obviously the big frontend played by cuminga;
Second, over-obsessed with the five small lineups used by water scented tea at the same time.
In the playoffs last year, Warriors used water scented tea in 440 rounds at the same time. In 440 rounds, the attack efficiency of Warriors was as high as 119.3, but the defense efficiency collapsed to 119.5, which was a usage of losing a little. The three should be used together as a raid weapon in a specific situation, rather than a stable ending or starting lineup. Curry, Thomson, Wikins, Dream + X, and the last X choice should have more possibilities except Poole and Luni, which is especially a good opportunity to exercise cuminga. But the coaching team had no brain to believe Poole at the beginning of the season.
Due to the lack of high-quality players in the front court and the four important rotations of Curry, Thomson, Poole and Di winchinzo in the back court, the appearance of the three-guard team cannot be completely avoided. However, the three defenders are also very important. Tang Shen and Diwen have stronger defensive ability and better defensive adaptability, while Curry and Poole are obviously not suitable for long-term use, their time should be staggered as much as possible. When Curry can play, Poole should compress the time. The coaching staff obviously failed to do this. There may be more complicated factors in it, we will talk about it in the future;
Thirdly, the habit of using Jerome reflects that the coaching staff does not have the consciousness of ensuring body shape in employing people.
One point to explain first-Jerome played well and I like this player very much. Jerome has maintained the “180 club” level of 50+40+90 so far in the season, with a real hit rate of 62.1%, few mistakes and a helping/losing ratio of 4.57. After the breakthrough, the cast is a must, and it is a rare player of warriors who has the ability to block and dismantle attacks.
The problem is that there are too many defenders for Warriors. Although Jerome is quite smart, he has too poor athletic ability and really suffers from defense. Warriors already have a Poole and cannot have another one.
The use of Jerome should follow the following principles:
While Curry is healthy, Jerome shouldn’t use it. Curry and Poole can’t completely stagger the time, and adding a Jerome will make them more troublesome;
When Curry was absent, Jerome only ate the time behind Poole.
Cole is obviously not used this way. Let’s watch these matches:
In the first half of the game against the Nuggets on February 3 (the Warriors in the second half were basically tuck stitch, and the time was not for reference), Curry played 15 and a half points, Poole 14 and a half points, and took a break in Thomson, but Di Vincenzo played for 15 minutes. In this case, Jerome got 10 minutes in the first half. The reason that can be found in this game is that Tang took a break and chased for a rest. Lamb’s court quota should be saved, while Moody’s is not easy to use. OK, let’s continue to watch;
On february 5th, in the first half of the game against the lone ranger (curry was injured in the second half and the rotation time was disrupted in the latter half), curry played 15 and a half minutes, thomson and 15 minutes, di winchinzo 10 minutes, poole 11 and a half minutes, chasing dreams, jia Green, Wikins and cuminga all played. In this case, Jerome still got 8 and a half minutes in half. Poole committed two crimes in the first quarter, but Cole did not replace him because of this, so his time reduction had nothing to do with foul trouble. In fact, Poole, Jerome and dichenzo were present at the end of the first quarter at the same time;
After that, Curry was out. Jerome’s time as a backup guard was reasonable, but the total time between him and Poole was not 48 minutes either. The total time against the Lakers was 58 minutes, and the total time against the Blazers was 53 minutes, in the past 5 matches, the two were present at the same time for 14 minutes.
In the match between the Wizards and the Clippers, it can be seen that Cole paid more attention to this matter, basically achieving the rotation relationship between Jerome and Poole, and the realization method is Poole reducing the time. In fact, from the beginning of the game against the Nuggets (this 24 minutes), Jerome couldn’t beat for 18 minutes every game, which had nothing to do with how long Poole played. It should be noted that the Nuggets occurred before Curry was injured.
So, what is the real reason why Cole attaches importance to Jerome?
Curry injury?
Poole’s backup?
Another answer when Poole didn’t play well?
Neither.
Jerome began to be reused against the Nuggets because Lamb was trapped in the field limit and was abandoned from this one. Cole wanted to add a rotation, and Curry was injured just afterwards, so Jerome was reused more logically. Lamb was abandoned only because his two-way contract quota was approaching-there were 7 games left after hitting the clippers-the warriors would use him in games similar to wikins’ absence. Due to the high tension in salary and quota, the Warriors did not plan to turn to lamb immediately, resulting in Koukou searches on employment.
Then, why didn’t Cole give the spare time of lamb to cuminga and Moody’s? Wouldn’t it be a more balanced way of employing people to let di winchinzo replace the control guard and let cumingar and moody eat more front-line rotation time?
First of all, Moody’s has proved with actions that Warriors can’t rest assured to add time to him now. In the last five games, Moody’s scored 1 in 7 points. In the situation that every time he loses one more game, he will lose the risk of playing a play-in fact, warriors need to strive to enter the first 6 without playing additional games before insurance-really dare not use it;
Second, except for playing the Wizards and the Lakers, cuminga’s recent time is more than 20 minutes, which is actually in line with his current level. Against the Wizards, Jerome’s performance was completely worthy of the playing time. Against the lakers, jerome’s defense was indeed one of the reasons for losing, but the master tone of that game was that the offensive difficulty of the two teams was greater than that of defense, and jerome’s attack was very good, it can be understood why Cole used him more.
In fact, choosing jerome or a young man, for cole, he just chose a more sure answer in a multiple choice question without a perfect answer:
A. Choosing Jerome improves the ability and space of ball-holding development in the connecting section and hurts the defense;
(It should be noted here that Di winchinzo can issue cards, but he lacks the means of ending the ball by entering three point line, which makes him unable to be a developer. This is the unique feature of Jerome)
B. Choosing cuminga or Moody’s, the Warriors saved their size, but the attack would be more difficult.
Recently, choosing B is not necessarily better than A, but Cole has no long-term margin. Jerome also proved that choosing him in the past six matches was at least not a wrong answer. In these 7 games, his positive and negative values are +1,+2,-1,+6,-11,+12,+2, I have helped the team survive most of the connection segments, and the performance is obvious to all.
I wrote about Jerome in so much space. What I want to say is not that Jerome is good or how much problem the team has for his use. But the story of Jerome can reflect many situations of Warriors:
First, warriors are also very tight in the use of two-way contracts. The illusion of no budget in the past two years has been shattered and cost control has begun to emerge.
Secondly, in order to ensure the record, without a perfect answer, Cole would choose a winning form that he trusted more and train young people to be placed in an unimportant position. In fact, the warrior has a Baldwin to try. Under the pressure of record, the coaching staff has no trial and error.
Why is this happening?
After all, it is still the goal problem.
Obviously, the goal proposed by the top Warriors to the coaching staff is neither “we focus on training young people this season” or “we must achieve defending”, but “let’s practice young people first, if not, return to win mode”. However, Warriors obviously overestimate their steering ability, which is not surprising:
Losing two core rotation puzzles and two playoff puzzles that can get time did not make equal reinforcement. There were Wiseman, cuminga, Moody’s, Baldwin, rawlings has five new stars (regardless of Poole) and igodala, who is only useful for maintaining stability in the dressing room. There are only 8 combat capability people on the 14th national people’s congress list, plus injuries, rotation breaks and other personnel impairment. Even if we don’t talk about location compatibility, the number of people is already tight, and it is really not good for players without two-way contracts to help the team;
In the case of the lack of big size number four, and the team’s playing style especially requires players in this position, the first edition of the young people’s training plan focused not on cuminga, but was eager to have 2.0 pictures, the booker/wiseman block is really ambitious.
The weak initial reserve has led to many difficulties in subsequent adjustment. Everyone knows that Warriors cannot use two-way players to play the playoffs. Even if they turn positive, it is difficult for such talented players to make movements in the playoffs. The real hope is those talented young people. However, the team’s capital investment is too large to accept the result of missing the playoffs. The record has never improved and the fault tolerance rate is getting lower and lower. The coaching staff choose to be conservative and use whoever can adapt to the system, on the contrary, it is a normal reaction (reinforcing the choice to take back Peyton can also reflect this). This is just like the law of the rise and fall of the dynasty. In the late stage of the disease, everyone knows that the root of the disease cannot be eliminated. It is only a matter of time before the dynasty is destroyed. But history has proved more that radical changes often make dynasties collapse faster when they are terminally ill.
It’s hard to put anyone in Cole’s position. I am not washing the land for Cole. There are indeed some problems in his employment, which have been analyzed in the article. However, against the background that coaches of all teams in the league cannot hand over 100-point answers, it is normal to make some mistakes. If you look at other teams more, you will understand this. Cole and the coaching team are just a corner of a series of problems of warriors, and no individual has the ability to be responsible for the status quo of warriors. This is only the inevitable result after everyone makes a reasonable choice. It only happens now, but it is more like an accident.
The expected content of this article is about 1W words. Today, only the coaching staff is completed, and it will be expanded in detail when there is time in the future.