Lakers coach Darwin Ham was scolded by the hot search, and a large number of fans sighed “Miss Vogel’s”. For no reason, the Lakers were beaten up again. This time they lost to the Blazers at 115-127 in the key card position.
Hamm’s tactical arrangement, on-the-spot strain, and Troop arrangement were frantically complained. The Blazers shot 23 points with 48.9 percent of the super high-level stars, of which 17 were in the first half, lillard cut 40 points in a desperate situation, and even Seble, who shot 32.9 percent of his career, scored 4 points.
If the Lakers are just unlucky in a game and just catch up with the opponent’s feeling hot, that’s acceptable. The problem is, taking this game as an example, you will find that the current Lakers’ defense problem is extremely dazzling, and the defense efficiency (losing points in 100 rounds) is only ranked 21st in the league. Under a large sample, the Lakers are not a good defensive team, which is worth worrying about.
What is the problem? Perhaps Hamm forced to imitate the old version of the stag’s defense system, and too superstitious data analysis was one of the main reasons.
The reason for this conclusion was Hamm’s interview after the game today: “I don’t think we have given the pioneers too many seats for three points. We looked at the data analysis during the intermission. The data showed that, we limited the quality of the opponent’s shots to the first place, because we interfered with the opponent’s shots and some balls were forced to shift. As for some vacant shots of opponents, I designed them and we chose to empty some players.”
Are these words familiar? Stag coach Budenholzer said the same thing when facing doubts after many losses-it is an established tactic to put three points on some inaccurate points of opponents. Considering Hamm once laid hands on Budenholzer in the stag, he used the same routine and said the same thing, which would not be surprising.
But Budenholzer was confident in ignoring doubts and insisting on his own opinion. The stag’s record over the years was there, and they would be shot through the defense line and lose in some matches, but they won more matches in large samples. Why did the original stag play the first defensive efficiency of the league, but the Lakers only ranked 21st? The answer is very simple: Hamm imitated a pass, and couldn’t imitate the essence.
Regarding the “shooting quality” mentioned by Ham, his words were flawed, but it was not a big problem in terms of content alone. Many data can prove that the Lakers did not rank the first in limiting the shooting quality of opponents, but it belongs to the first 8 levels and does a good job.
In the data analysis, “shooting quality” is the estimated effective hit rate calculated by integrating the player’s shooting position, shooting mode, shooting difficulty and other factors. The lower the expected effective hit rate is, it shows that the player’s shooting quality is worse.
Considering that today’s three-point resume is very poor, Seble and redishi made 11 three-point shots in total, Lillard made 14 three-point shots, many of which were difficult to hold the ball, strong shots and ultra distance shots, the pioneer’s “shooting quality” will not be high.
However, Hamm made a mistake in this interview: The shooting quality has no direct relationship with the defensive efficiency. This season, the Stag and the grizzly bear’s defensive efficiency separated from the 2nd and 3rd, but the shooting quality they gave their opponents was only ranked 11th and 21th respectively.
There is also a classic counterexample: in the playoffs last year, Stephen Curry had a large number of strong shots. In the concept of “shooting quality”, strong shots with long-distance shots are one of the lowest quality shots, however, because the library has strong power to destroy the data model, the Warriors still won the championship in the case of the second worst shooting quality.
Simply put, without considering the actual ability of players, pure superstition is not perfect, only for reference data model, which completely uses the wrong data.
After Ham replaced Vogel’s, the intention of instilling the stag system in the Lakers was obvious. He directly pushed Davis to No. 5, and at the same time allowed Davis to adopt more “potty chair” defensive strategies.
Davis once interpreted: “Our current defense system is more stag-style, allowing big men to shrink the penalty area. In the past, I am put more pressure on the ball. Now I am try not to overdefend the ball and let the defenders do their job well. I am responsible for my own work.”
In the past, the stag carried out this defensive strategy strictly according to the results given by data analysis. They stuck to the basket (the most efficient scoring area in data analysis), and big Lopes and adtokunbo built a no-fly zone, the outside defender put crazy pressure on the ball and actively pursued the defense. Empty the three-point shooting points that the opponent is not allowed to give priority to protecting the basket, forcing the opponent to perimeter shot (the most inefficient scoring area in data analysis).
Therefore, in the era of Budenholzer, the stag limited the opponent’s basket shot and shooting rate most of the time ranked in the top three in the league. The stag’s three-point proportion and three-point hit rate to the opponent also ranked in the top three for a long time, missing a large number of three points. However, because the stag kept the defensive ground under the basket, the stag’s defensive efficiency was still the top in the league. In the 2020-21 season, the arrival of Tucker filled a big short board of the stag, giving the stag unlimited relieve a garrison of capital. The Stag’s weakness of leaking a large number of three points improved a lot and finally won the championship.
Compared with the previous stag, the change of the Lakers is only to change Davis’s role and let him switch from adtokunbo’s role to the role of grand Lopez in the defensive system. The Lakers’ defense system is three less–
Zhu holerdi’s ability to put pressure on the ball and cover the ball.
No one on the weak side can swim and sweep like adtokunbo. The ability of LeBlanc James in this aspect has declined compared with the peak.
Davis directly topped the No. 5 position of the first line after the Lakers followed the internal rotation, lack of changes in style, and no one could top the rotation time.
This season, the Lakers have restricted the proportion of opponents to the seventh in the league, but only ranked 19th in limiting the percentage of opponents to shoot in the basket. They did not hold the basket like Bucks. As a comparison, the stag two data ranked fourth and fifth respectively, which not only suppressed the frequency of the opponent’s basket shots, but also limited the end efficiency of the opponent’s basket.
By the way, the stag has fine-tuned the defense this season, even increasing the proportion of the three-point shots of the opponent to the third place, and ranking the second in the three-point hit rate of the opponent.
In other words, the stag has upgraded the system to the latest version, blocking the original bug. The Lakers imitated the old version and the greatly weakened version of the stag.
Hamm’s employment is also very different from that of Budenholzer and Vogel’s. Budenholzer and Vogel’s attach great importance to the suppression of body shape, and the deer often put forward the three heights in the front court + Middleton + hollerdi, the Lakers won the championship season and finished the playoffs. At that time, kurzma, pop and Caruso took care of Lillard Vogel’s. The shortest of the three was 1.96 meters.
While Ham obviously had a better choice, what he was superstitious about was Schroeder of 1.85 meters. Schroeder had been successively chosen by Jamal Murray, Delon Fox, Halliburton, lillard and other defenders have been beaten, and the height difference is obvious.
The Lakers still have 24 games left, and now they only rank 13th in the West with 26 wins and 32 losses. What should ham do next? The key is to increase altitude and practice defense. For the Lakers, no matter how much the outside shooting has improved, defense, counterattack and attack are still their strongest weapons.
However, Hamm was still emphasizing before the match today that next he would still let Schroder and Russell partner in the back court, because they had different styles and played in complementary ways. I don’t know when the stubborn ham will turn back.