With the promotion of the last team Serbia, the grouping situation of the men’s basketball World Cup has gradually become clear.
According to the world ranking (currently not updated, there are still changes in the future, but the big difference is not bad) and the principle of “group avoidance in Tongzhou”, the current grading situation is (the number in parentheses is the world ranking):
1st gear: Spain (1), United States (2), Australia (3), Philippines (40, host)
Second File: France (5), Serbia (6), Slovenia (7), Lithuania (8)
Third File: Greece (9), Italy (10), Germany (11), Brazil (13)
Fourth: Canada (15), Venezuela (17), Montenegro (18), Iran (20)
Fifth Gear: Puerto Rico (21), Finland (14), Latvia (29, the original sixth gear, the first gear was raised due to the avoidance of the same continent group), New Zealand (26)
Sixth Gear: China (27), Dominica (25, the original fifth gear, due to the same continent group to avoid reducing the first gear), Mexico (31), Georgia (32)
Seventh: Jordan (34), Japan (38, host), Angola (41), Lebanon (42)
Eighth: Ivory Coast (43), Egypt (55), South Sudan (63), Cape Verde (66)
What needs to be explained here is the principle of group avoidance in Tongzhou:
According to FIBA regulations, group 1458 will draw lots together and divide them into four groups, and 2367 will draw lots together. The same group avoidance principle, as its name implies, is that two teams from the same region cannot be qualified in one group at the same time. Of course, this principle is mainly aimed at the Americas and Asian regions, because there are too many teams in Europe, and Africa is basically in the 7th and 8th grade, it will naturally be able to separate.
Look at the example here. Because of the 1458th gear group, there are five American teams in this group: the United States, Canada, Venezuela, Puerto Rico and Dominica, there must be two American teams in one group.
In this way, the lowest ranked Dominica needs to downgrade from the fifth to the sixth, and exchange the highest ranked non-American team in the sixth to the fifth.
The highest ranked non-American team in the sixth stage was originally China, but because there are already four Asian teams in the 1458th stage, namely Australia, Philippines, Iran and New Zealand, the situation above will happen when the Chinese team comes in.
Therefore, the team that promoted the gear was postponed to another one, and became Europe’s Latvia (Europe does not need to consider the same group to avoid).
Therefore, according to the principle of drawing lots in 1458 groups and drawing lots in 2367 groups, the teams drawing lots together with Chinese men’s basketball will be:
Second gear: France, Serbia, Slovenia, and Lithuania
Third Gear: Greece, Italy, Germany, Brazil
Sixth: China, Doni Mignon Maimai, Mexico, Georgia
Seventh: Jordan, Japan (host), Angola, Lebanon
In this case, the most favorable situation for China may be:
The second gear was drawn to Lithuania (in fact, it doesn’t matter who it is, but it can’t be beaten anyway), the third gear was drawn to Brazil, and then the seventh gear was locked in Angola because of the principle of withdrawal from Tongzhou.
Angola old iron
Of course, this is only the current situation. If the world ranking changes in the future, the grouping situation will change.
However, considering the grouping mode of 1458 and 2367, in fact, the huge changes in ranking groups may not be large, because the ranking gap between 12, 34 and 56 that affect the lottery groups is relatively large.
For example, between the 12th gear, one group of goalkeeper Australia and the first French in the 2th gear had a 25-point difference, generally, it is difficult to catch up with this gap within one cycle (in the last cycle, the largest increase in the number of fans was only 21.7 points).
Similarly, the gap between Brazil, the third goalkeeper, and Canada, the first place in the fourth gear is about 20 points, and New Zealand, the fifth goalkeeper, is also 30 points ahead of China, the first place in the sixth gear.
Australia recently won 2 and lost 1, which is unlikely to be caught up by France.
The 78th gear may change, but it has little impact on the Chinese team. It is nothing more than locking the difference between Angola and Angola’s Ivory Coast.
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(Text/nihil)